Flood Hazard Mapping: Uncertainty and its Value in the Decision-making Process
Av Micah Mukungu Mukolwe, 2018.Del av serien IHE Delft PhD Thesis Series.
Computers are increasingly used in the simulation of natural phenomena such as floods. However, these simulations are based on numerical approximations of equations formalizing our conceptual understanding of flood flows. Thus, model results are intrinsically subject to uncertainty and the use of probabilistic approaches seems more appropriate. Uncertain, probabilistic floodplain maps are widely used in the scientific domain, but still not sufficiently exploited to support the development of flood mitigation strategies.
In this thesis the major sources of uncertainty in flood inundation models are analyzed, resulting in the generation of probabilistic floodplain maps. The utility of probabilistic model output is assessed using value of information and the prospect theory. The use of these maps to support decision making in terms of floodplain development under flood hazard threat is demonstrated.
Språk: Engelsk
Ikke tilgjengelig for Klikk&Hent
Midlertidig tomt på lager
Bestillingsvare. Forventes sendt om ca 8 dager
Oppdag mer
Flood Hazard Mapping: Uncertainty and its Value in the Decision-making Process
Av Micah Mukungu Mukolwe, 2018.Del av serien IHE Delft PhD Thesis Series.
Computers are increasingly used in the simulation of natural phenomena such as floods. However, these simulations are based on numerical approximations of equations formalizing our conceptual understanding of flood flows. Thus, model results are intrinsically subject to uncertainty and the use of probabilistic approaches seems more appropriate. Uncertain, probabilistic floodplain maps are widely used in the scientific domain, but still not sufficiently exploited to support the development of flood mitigation strategies.
In this thesis the major sources of uncertainty in flood inundation models are analyzed, resulting in the generation of probabilistic floodplain maps. The utility of probabilistic model output is assessed using value of information and the prospect theory. The use of these maps to support decision making in terms of floodplain development under flood hazard threat is demonstrated.
Oppdag mer
Språk: Engelsk
Ikke tilgjengelig for Klikk&Hent
Midlertidig tomt på lager
Bestillingsvare. Forventes sendt om ca 8 dager
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